Turkish economy shrank 13.8 percent in Q1

ANKARA, Turkey — Turkey’s economy shrank by a painful 13.8 percent in the first quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago as foreign trade contracted sharply amid the global recession, the Turkish Statistics Institute announced on Tuesday.

Exports declined by 41 percent in the year to May while imports dropped by 43.9 percent, the institute said. Exports to European Union countries fell by 44.5 percent.

The government has been arguing that the country’s economy will not be seriously affected by the global financial fallout, but the statistics showed that it has already taken a serious toll.

“The economy shrank beyond expectations,” Ali Agaoglu, a finance analyst, said on CNN-Turk television. “The estimate was hovering around 12 percent.”

The government has been arguing that the country’s economy will not be seriously affected from the global financial fallout but the statistics showed that it has already taken a serious toll.

Turkey has been unable to reach an agreement with the International Monetary Fund for several months for a new loan deal to alleviate the impact of the global financial crisis on its government finances.

New talks with the IMF began in January but differences over the conditions attached to the loan limited any progress. Turkey has argued that it cannot cut spending while its economy is shrinking, even though a deal could boost investor confidence. Turkey is reportedly eyeing a three-year loan deal of around $40 billion.

Tuesday’s statistics showed that the state’s spending increased to 11.1 percent of gross domestic product in the first quarter compared to 9 percent in the same quarter in 2008.

The government has said the economy is expected to continue contracting and shrink by 3.6 percent in 2009, sharply revising its earlier prediction of 4 percent growth. But analysts now say the economy is likely to contract more than 5 percent by the end of the year.

The unemployment in Turkey climbed to 15.8 percent in March, as companies struck by the global economic crisis continued to lay off workers. The jobless rate was 11 percent in the same period a year ago.