Summary Box: Jobless claims bad sign for recovery

WHAT HAPPENED?: New jobless claims rose for the second straight week, disappointing analysts who were expecting a drop. At the same time, an index of leading economic indicators and a regional manufacturing index rose, providing more evidence that the economy may be recovering.

WHAT’S IT MEAN?: Economists closely track first-time jobless claims, which measure the pace of layoffs and indicate whether companies are willing to hire. The increase signals that jobs remain scarce, which could cause consumers to hold back on their spending. That, in turn, could weaken any economic recovery.

WHAT’S NEXT FOR THE ECONOMY?: Many analysts expect the economy could grow at a 2 to 3 percent clip in the second half of this year. But without significant growth in consumer spending anytime soon, growth could slow in 2010.