Long-term Treasurys gain after successful auction
NEW YORK — Long-term Treasury prices reversed early losses and moved higher Thursday, buoyed by a solid auction of seven-year notes. Short-term debt was flat.
Bond investors breathed easier after the auction of $28 billion of seven-year notes went smoothly, especially considering auctions earlier this week of shorter-term debt didn’t go as well.
The market has been concerned that if demand continued to waver, the government would be forced to increase the returns on bonds to lure buyers, which in turn can raise borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. Long-term Treasury yields are linked to interest rates on mortgages and other kinds of consumer loans.
“The results were very positive today,” said William Dennehy, senior fixed income portfolio manager at Northern Trust Co. “People are more interested in longer-term Treasurys because there is a bit more risk in them.”
The benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose 14/32 to 96, after being down about half a point ahead of the auction. That pushed its yield down to 3.61 percent from 3.67 percent late Wednesday.
The auction’s bid-to-cover ratio, a measure of demand, was 2.63 percent, compared with 2.82 percent at a similar auction last month and above the recent average of 2.5 percent.
Indirect bids, an indication of foreign buying, were also solid.
Stock traders were relieved by the results, too. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 84, though ended off its best levels.
Investor anxiety about the huge amounts of government debt being pumped into the system has been high this year. Those fears escalated this week as the Treasury prepared to auction off a one-week record of more than $200 billion in new debt.
Earlier this week, demand at auctions of two and five-year notes was much weaker and participation from foreign investors appeared to be less.
Investors appear to have more of an appetite for longer-term Treasurys, analysts said, which marks a shift from earlier this year, when they clamored for the safety of short-term debt.
Rates on short-term Treasurys have been supported by action from the Federal Reserve, which has kept the target for its federal funds rate to a record low of between zero and 0.25 percent. Many economists believe the Fed will not begin raising rates until next year.
With optimism over an economic turnaround growing, appetite for risk has been higher in recent weeks, making longer-term Treasurys more attractive, Dennehy said. He expects Treasurys to continue to move higher through early next week, which doesn’t bring any major auctions. The next round of auctions begins the week of August 10.
In late trading, the two-year note slipped less than 1/32 to 99 20/32, and its yield rose to 1.18 percent from 1.17 percent.
The 30-year bond rose 1 18/32 to 97 12/32, and its yield fell to 4.41 percent from 4.51 percent.
The yield on the three-month T-bill was unchanged at 0.17 percent. Its discount rate was 0.18 percent.
Related News
Treasurys tumble as auction of $12 billion of 30-year bonds garners weak demandOctober 8th, 2009 Weak auction of 30-year bonds sends Treasurys downNEW YORK — Treasury prices tumbled Thursday after an auction of $12 billion of 30-year bonds was met with lukewarm demand. In late trading, the price of the 30-year Treasury dropped 1 15/32 to 107 3/32, pushing its yield up to 4.09 percent from 4.01 percent late Wednesday.
Treasury prices decline after weakening demand seen at 5-year note auctionSeptember 23rd, 2009 Treasury prices fall after 5-year note auctionNEW YORK — Treasury prices fell Wednesday, pushing their yields higher, after results from an auction of five-year notes showed weaker demand for government debt. Prices had been relatively flat throughout the morning, along with stocks, ahead of the Federal Reserve Board's interest rate decision.
Treasurys rise along with stocks, decent auction of 2-year notes supports higher pricesSeptember 22nd, 2009 Treasurys attract solid demand even as stocks riseNEW YORK — A strong auction of two-year notes helped support the bond market Tuesday, sending Treasury yields lower. In afternoon trading, the price of the benchmark 10-year note rose 10/32 to 101 14/32 and its yield fell to 3.45 percent from 3.49 percent late Monday.
Treasury prices trade mixed ahead of 3 upcoming auctions and as stocks mostly slideSeptember 21st, 2009 Treasury prices mixed ahead of auctions this weekNEW YORK — Treasury prices were mixed Monday as investors prepared for three upcoming auctions and stocks mostly slipped. Longer-term Treasurys were modestly lower while short-term notes inched higher.
Treasury prices jump following strong demand at auction for 30-year bondsSeptember 10th, 2009 Treasury prices surge on strong demand at auctionNEW YORK — Treasury prices surged Thursday, sending their yields lower, after another successful auction of long-term government debt. Treasurys started the day moderately higher and shot up after a $12 billion auction of 30-year bonds was met with strong demand from investors.
Treasury prices rise modestly after strong demand seen for new 10-year notesSeptember 9th, 2009 Treasurys rise modestly amid strong auction demandNEW YORK — Treasury prices rose modestly Wednesday after a strong showing for the government's latest auction of 10-year notes. The price of the 10-year note rose 1/32 to 101 6/32, while its yield remained unchanged at 3.48 percent.
Treasury prices mostly rise as auction brings strong demand for new 10-year notesSeptember 9th, 2009 Treasurys mostly rise amid strong auction demandNEW YORK — Treasury prices mostly edged higher Wednesday after a strong showing for the government's latest auction of 10-year notes. In late trading, the 10-year note rose 2/32 to 101 7/32, while its yield remained unchanged at 3.48 percent.
Treasurys prices bounce off morning lows after solid demand at latest round of auctionsAugust 25th, 2009 Treasurys little changed after latest auctionsNEW YORK — Bonds were little changed Tuesday after auctions for one- and two-year Treasurys showed solid demand for the safety of government debt. Traders were relieved to see investors eager to buy Treasurys, helping push their prices off of their lows for the day.
Treasury prices mixed after auction of 5-year notes disappointsJuly 29th, 2009 Short-term Treasurys fall after 5-year auctionNEW YORK — Short-term Treasury prices fell Wednesday, sending their yields higher, after a disappointing auction of $39 billion in five-year notes. The auction's bid-to-cover ratio, a measure of demand, dropped to 1.92 percent from 2.58 percent at an auction of five-year notes in June.
Treasurys pare gains as demand at auction of $42 billion of two-year notes faltersJuly 28th, 2009 Treasurys pare gains following lackluster auctionNEW YORK — Treasury prices were giving up some of their gains Tuesday after a lackluster auction of $42 billion of two-year notes. Overall demand was weaker than at a similar auction in June, and foreign investors appeared to buying fewer notes.
Treasurys reverse early losses and move higher as investors look for bargainsJuly 20th, 2009 Treasurys reverse early losses, move higherNEW YORK — Treasurys moved higher Monday, reversing early losses, as investors took advantage of beaten-down prices ahead of testimony on the economy from Federal Reserve Chief Ben Bernanke. Treasurys "appear to be rallying off of oversold levels," said Christian Cooper, an interest rate strategist at RBC Capital Markets.
Treasurys prices surge as buyers clamor for 10-year notes at government auctionJuly 8th, 2009 Treasurys jump after strong 10-year auctionNEW YORK — Long-term Treasury prices surged Wednesday after strong results from an auction of 10-year notes. Investors looking for the safety of government debt rushed to buy $19 billion in notes sold by the Treasury Department.
Treasurys mostly gain on worries about economic recovery; mixed auction results curb gainsJuly 7th, 2009 Treasurys mostly rise as investors look for safetyNEW YORK — Investors maneuvered into the safety of government debt Tuesday as they worried about the health of the economy. The stock market retreated and Treasurys mostly rose as investors questioned how long it will take for the economy to produce definitive signals that it is recovering from the recession that began in December 2007.
Treasurys rise, sending yields lower, after last auction of the week brings in solid demandJune 25th, 2009 Bonds rise after strong auction of 7-year notesNEW YORK — Another strong Treasury auction is driving investors back into government debt. Bond prices rose Thursday, sending yields lower, after the Treasury Department sold $27 billion in seven-year notes to solid demand.
Treasurys pare losses after strong auction of 5-year notes; investors await Fed statementJune 24th, 2009 Bonds waver after solid auction of 5-year notesNEW YORK — A strong government auction of five-year notes is helping bonds pare steeper losses. Treasurys traded modestly lower Wednesday after the Treasury Department sold $37 billion in five-year notes.