Sydney, June 11 (ANI: In a grim scenario put forward by scientists, the gravity of Jupiter could one day pull Mercury off course, triggering a chain reaction of collisions in the Solar System.
But despite the threat, there’s only a 1 percent chance of this happening in the next 5 billion years, said French researchers.
“These are some pretty impressive simulations,” Australian planet scientist, Dr Simon O’Toole, of the Anglo-Australian Observatory, told ABC News.
“When you try and calculate the orbits of planets, it’s not a simple matter of writing down a couple of equations and plugging in some numbers. It’s a really difficult chaotic problem where you need to run a lot different possibilities,” he added.
O’Toole said that previous research has suggested the outer planets could affect the orbits of the inner planets through the influence of gravity.
He said that the supercomputer simulations conducted by Dr Jacques Laskar and Mickael Gastineau from the Observatoire de Paris are the most precise predictions yet.
“They took very very precise measurement of the positions of the planets as they are now and then worked forward and asked what could happen, what were all the possibilities,” said O’Toole.
According to O’Toole, the orbits of most planets are approximately circular, but Mercury’s orbit is about 20 percent deformed, rendering it more vulnerable to being disturbed by the gravity of large outer planets like Jupiter.
Jupiter can pull Mercury out of its orbit, especially when the two planets line up on the same side of the Sun.
“It’s like a tug of war,” said O’Toole.
He said that Mercury could eventually cross the orbit of Venus and collide with Venus, or - just as bad - the Sun.
O’Toole said that if Mercury did collide with Venus, it would be catastrophic and make our concerns about kilometre sized asteroids hitting the Earth pale into insignificance.
“It would be very, very bad for everyone in the vicinity,” he said. “Several hundred or several thousand-kilometre sized chunks of planet would wipe out life as we know it, basically,” he added.
O’Toole said that after the collision, Venus’ orbit itself would then be disturbed and a “chain reaction” would result where Earth could collide with Venus or Mars.
But, according to O’Toole, there’s no need to panic right now.
He said that Laskar and Gastineau have calculated there’s only a 1 percent chance this will happen in the next 5 billion years. (ANI)
Related News
"Inverse energy cascade" may energize Jupiter's jet streamsOctober 6th, 2009 WASHINGTON - A new analysis of Cassini observations of Jupiter shows that an "inverse energy cascade" mechanism could be supplying the energy that powers and maintains the intense jet streams that typically rip through Jupiter's atmosphere at the same speeds as much shorter-lived hurricanes and tornadoes do on Earth. Exactly what mechanism generates and perpetuates dozens of ferocious, relatively constant jet streams that have been observed on Jupiter over decades is a long-standing question, according to David Choi, a planetary sciences graduate student at the University of Arizona.
ESA's satellite sends data for development of best gravity map everOctober 1st, 2009 PARIS - Reports indicate that the European Space Agency's (ESA's) GOCE (Gravity field and steady-state Ocean Circulation Explorer) has started sending data that will lead to the development of the best gravity map ever, providing a better understanding of Earth's gravity. The GOCE satellite was launched on March 17 from northern Russia.
Study explains negative effects of microgravity on astronautsSeptember 29th, 2009 MELBOURNE - Scientists from University of New South Wales in Sydney claim to have found the reason why long-term exposure to microgravity causes loss of bone density and muscle wasting in astronauts. They said stem cells exposed to microgravity express different proteins than those grown in normal gravity.
NASA's Messenger spacecraft prepares for final pass by Mercury on September 29September 24th, 2009 WASHINGTON - NASA's Messenger spacecraft is all set to fly by Mercury for the third and final time on September 29. The spacecraft will pass less than 142 miles above the planet's rocky surface for a final gravity assist that will enable it to enter Mercury's orbit in 2011.
Craters on Vesta and Ceres could pinpoint Jupiter's ageSeptember 14th, 2009 WASHINGTON - A new study that models the cratering history of Vesta and Ceres, which are the largest two objects in the asteroid belt, could help pinpoint when Jupiter began to form during the evolution of the early Solar System. The study, carried out by scientists at the Italian National Institute for Astrophysics in Rome, explored the hypothesis that one or both objects formed during Jupiter's formation by modeling their cratering histories during the birth of the giant planet.
Earth-sized moons may orbit around 'hot Jupiters'September 12th, 2009 SYDNEY - In a new study, scientists have determined that giant gas planets like Jupiter, which orbit close to their parent star, could harbour moons the size of Earth. According to a report by ABC News, the study was led by graduate student Tim Cassidy from the University of Virginia in Charlottesville, US.
Scientists design "gravity tractor" to save earth from asteroidsAugust 30th, 2009 LONDON - British space scientists have designed a special spacecraft that can save the earth from a catastrophic asteroid collision. The 10 tonne spacecraft named "gravity tractor" would be deployed to intercept an asteroid en route to the earth and has the ability to fly 160 ft alongside it.
Einstein's theory of general relativity can well be rewritten now!August 25th, 2009 WASHINGTON - Scientists at Texas A and M University in the US have developed a controversial new model of quantum gravity, which might reproduce Albert Einstein's theory of general relativity. The theory, which Einstein developed in the early 20th century, says that matter curves spacetime, and it is this curvature which deflects massive bodies - an effect that we interpret as the influence of gravity.
Scientists discover "Super Planetary Nebulae" in deep spaceAugust 15th, 2009 LONDON - A team of scientists in Australia and the United States has discovered a new class of object which they call "Super Planetary Nebulae."
Planetary nebulae are shells of gas and dust expelled by stars near the end of their lives and are typically seen around stars comparable or smaller in size than the Sun. The international team, led by Associate Professor Miroslav Filipovic from the University of Western Sydney, surveyed the Magellanic Clouds, the two companion galaxies to the Milky Way, with radio telescopes of the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Australia Telescope National Facility.
Newly discovered planet victim of game of 'planetary billiards'August 13th, 2009 LONDON - A team of scientists has found a new planet which appears to have been the victim of a game of planetary billiards, flung into its unusual orbit by a close encounter with a "big brother" planet. The planet, named WASP-17, and orbiting a star 1000 light years away, was found by the UK's WASP project in collaboration with Geneva Observatory.
Geckos' amazing grip triggered by gravityAugust 5th, 2009 WASHINGTON - Scientists at the University of Calgary (U of C) and Clemson University in South Carolina, US, have discovered that the geckos' amazing grip is triggered by gravity. Geckos are very adept at climbing through difficult terrain using an intricate adhesive system.
Dying giant star may have fuelled life in our solar systemJuly 21st, 2009 WASHINGTON - In a new research, an international team of astrophysicists has found evidence that suggests life in our solar system may have been fuelled by a nearby dying giant star of six times the mass of the sun. The evidence that the team has found is in the form of radioactive nuclei found in the earliest meteorites, dating back billions of years, which could have been delivered by a nearby dying giant star.
Astronomers spot a pair of solar systems in the makingJuly 2nd, 2009 WASHINGTON - Two University of Hawaii astronomers have found a binary star-disk system in which each star is surrounded by the kind of dust disk that is frequently the precursor of a planetary system, which makes them solar systems in the making. The astronomers in question are doctoral student Rita Mann and Dr.
Planets too have "fat days"June 21st, 2009 LONDON - Humans are not the only ones cribbing over weight issues, some planets too go through a "fat" stage that swells their waistlines temporarily. "Astronomers have found a lot of planets whose sizes cannot be explained by standard theory," says Laurent Ibgui of Princeton University.
New tidal debris from colliding galaxies discovered by astronomersJune 13th, 2009 WASHINGTON - Astronomers have announced the discovery of new tidal debris stripped away from colliding galaxies. New debris images are of special interest since they show the full history of galaxy collisions and resultant starburst activities, which are important in 'growing' galaxies in the early Universe.