Japan central bank likely to hold interest rates

TOKYO — Japan’s Cabinet Office kept its cautious view on the economy unchanged Tuesday, noting signs the downturn was bottoming out while warning about growing joblessness.

The Bank of Japan is also expected to keep a similar stance when it ends its two-day policy board meeting later in the day, and keep its near-zero interest rates unchanged.

The central bank is likely to stick to its view that more time is needed for the world’s second largest economy to achieve a solid recovery when Bank of Japan Gov. Masaaki Shirakawa speaks to reporters.

A big lingering problem for Japan, even as its manufacturing recovers, is its unemployment rate, which reached a six-year high of 5.4 percent in June.

The Cabinet Office said in Tuesday’s monthly report the economy was “picking up” but remained in “a difficult situation.”

Japanese exports and industrial production were rebounding, indicating that the worst may be over from the fallout from the global financial crisis last year, the report said. But unemployment was worsening, it said.

Export-dependent companies, including Toyota Motor Corp. and Sony Corp., have been hit hard by the plunge in global demand. They have recorded losses in recent quarters and slashed jobs and production.

But rising global demand, especially from China and other emerging markets, is gradually boosting manufacturing again although levels are still below what they were a year earlier.

In some upbeat news released Monday, Japan’s core machinery orders, a closely watched indicator of capital spending, jumped in June for the first time in four months, surging 9.7 percent from the previous month.