ECB expected to keep interest rate at 1 percent

FRANKFURT — The European Central Bank is expected to keep its key interest rate steady at 1 percent when it meets Thursday as it waits to see whether a massive infusion of credit into the banking system will help Europe’s struggling economy.

Marco Valli, the chief Italian economist at UniCredit said he thought the bank would keep its main interest rate unchanged through the rest of the year, and well into next year, meaning meeting in Luxembourg would largely be “uneventful and calm,” he said.

“They won’t change their outlook on inflation or growth. The trough has been left behind, but despite green shoots, the ECB is still very cautious,” he said.

Markets will scrutinzie bank president Jean-Claude Trichet’s comments on the ECB’s euro442 billion ($623 billion) in 12-month loans it offered up to banks last week. The loans were its biggest ever and try to keep cash flowing to, from and between banks.

Trichet, who said last week that the economy was still in “uncharted waters,” could also provide more details on the bank’s plan to buy some euro60 billion ($85 billion) in covered bonds, a relatively safe type of asset-backed security.

The ECB hopes the covered bond plan may help raise asset prices on bank balance sheets and give the banking system more money to lend to homeowners and businesses.

The ECB normally meets in Frankfurt but holds meetings twice a year in different capitals among the euro zone countries.

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