EU to warn Germany, other euro nations on deficits

LUXEMBOURG — The European Commission said Monday that it will formally warn eight euro zone nations — including Germany, a champion of fiscal prudence— about ballooning budget gaps that will break EU rules.

Germany’s budget deficit is expected to reach 3.9 percent of the country’s gross domestic product in 2009. The EU expects it to go to 5.9 percent in 2010 — almost double the 3 percent ceiling of the EU’s sound budget rules that underpin the stability of the euro.

Finance ministers of the 16 EU nations that share the euro reviewed national spending plans showing 13 of them will have budget gaps of more than 3 percent of GDP this year: Belgium, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Slovenia, Slovakia, Greece, Ireland, Spain, France and Malta.

Concerned that governments may try to spend their way out of the current recession, EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Joaquin Almunia said he hoped that when he issues formal spending warnings later this year the violators will recommit to the euro’s sound budget rules.

“I hope that … I will receive unanimous support from the ministers for the stability and growth pact” that contains the sound financing rules, said Almunia.

He told the euro zone finance ministers he does not expect their economies to show growth again until at least the middle of next year. “In the second and third quarters of 2010 our economies — as an average — will start having positive figures in growth,” he told reporters.”

He said there was no point in executing an “exit strategy” from the recession — by requiring governments to clear debts racked up during the economic slump — until then.

“We cannot start an exit strategy before we have overcome the deep recession we are suffering now,” Almunia said.

In the current recession, the EU is cutting governments that are opening their wallets wide in social and other spending to let costly economic revival packages soften the impact of the recession.

Stalling growth and surging unemployment have hit government revenues, just as they pay out billions more in social welfare and health care to the rising number of unemployed.

EU governments have agreed on stimulus packages more than euro225 billion in 2009 and 2010 in tax breaks and infrastructure projects. They have also set aside many billions to cover capital injections and guarantees for banks that may not ever be called in.